Entry #004

[dr_inui]

I have been running numerous simulations for the upcoming expedition. I have had to revise my previous calculated prediction of our team succeeding of 14.7% down to 12.8%.

Perhaps there are other factors that I have not taken into account yet...

Comments

[spaceninja144]

Define 'success'.

[dr_inui]

Clearing the requirements of the expedition as set out by Commander Ryuuzaki with no permanent injuries to any personnel and with an approximate 3 crawler nests of average estimated size cleared out.

[spaceninja144]

Don't worry about all that, worry about getting Akutagawa-san back in one piece.

[dr_inui]

If that is the only requirement for 'success', then we might as well not leave the base.

[spaceninja144]

You're right. Akutagawa-san should stay at the base.

[sanada_g]

Will some new tech or improved kit help?

[dr_inui]

Unless the 'improved kit' comes with you attached to it, unlikely.

[sanada_g]

Maybe you should compare data with Renji. That might lift you out of the pessimistic numbers.

And I'll keep working on the kit for you guys. You may be surprised what we come up with.

[dr_inui]

Perhaps. Renji has always had a greater insight into the abilities of people when put under pressure.

Thank you, Genichirou.

[sanada_g]

Bring some tea and snacks with you. You know you both are grumpier on an empty stomach.

[mgakuto]

Okay, Numberman, so what can bring that number up???

[dr_inui]

Disregarding Akutagawa's safety brings up the percentage by a significant degree.

[mgakuto]

fuck you, not an option, try again

[dr_inui]

I'm sure I've made it clear before, Mukahi, you are not my type.

[akutagawa_j]

I don't think I like that plan.

Maybe I should ask Atobe for some of that stuff that kept me awake before.

[mgakuto]

....You know what, that might actually work, as long as your objective becomes "Kill crawlers" and not "small IT projects",

[dr_inui]

Unlikely. Your body would likely give out after 4 days and result in a faster death.

[mmmarui]

Just a little people skills pointer here, but if you've got bad numbers you should keep them to yourself. Or at least follow them up with some positive ones.

[dr_inui]

Ah, but if I followed it up with telling them that if Akutagawa Jirou's safety wasn't a concern then our success rate would go up to 82%, then that would likely not be taken well.

[mmmarui]

You're really bad at this. Like, it's not even funny.

Try something like, 'that said, we are aiming for a scenario where every member of the mission returns at at least 80% HP, and will prioritize the health of our party over 100 percenting the mission'.

[dr_inui]

I see. What percent completion of the directives would I base the second calculation off?

[spacewillow]

I think you'll find that with adequate measures, the numbers look a lot better.

[dr_inui]

We should discuss what measures you have in mine, Renji, so I can make adjustments to my calculations.

[spacewillow]

Indeed. We should also discuss how your escalating unpopularity can interfere with data collection.

[dr_inui]

I account for factors such as personal feelings when making the calculations.